互联网+量化投资 大数据指数手把手
最后更新于:2022-04-01 21:55:54
# 互联网+量化投资 大数据指数手把手
> 来源:https://uqer.io/community/share/55263359f9f06c8f3390457b
## 策略简介
从公司基本面、市场驱动指标、市场情绪等多维度验证拥有“天时、地利、人和”的大牛股,让每个人都能生产符合自己投资理念的大数据指数。实现中参考了水星社区中的牛人@吴宇笛的因子计分卡策略。
本策略的参数如下:
+ 起始日期: 2014年1月1日
+ 结束日期: 2016年5月18日
+ 股票池: 上证50
+ 业绩基准: 上证50
+ 起始资金: 100000元
+ 调仓周期: 1个月
策略参数获取:
+ 十日移动均线(MA10) 60日移动均线(MA60) 资产回报率(ROA) 市盈率(PE) 对数市值(LCAP) 波幅中位数(DHILO) 净利润/营业总收入(NPToTOR) 产权比率(DebtEquityRatio) 营业利润同比增长(OperatingProfitGrowRate) 总资产同比增长(TotalAssetGrowRate) 均可以通过`DataAPI.MktStockFactorsDateRangeGet`获得
+ 市场新闻热度指标可以通过`DataAPI.NewsHeatIndexGet`获得
+ 市场情绪指标可以通过`DataAPI.NewsSentimentIndexGet`获得;与新闻热度指标一样,都是DataYes利用大数据分析从海量关联新闻中提取出来的
## 调仓策略
(1) 对每只股票获取之前的120个交易日的收盘价,计算20日累计收益,共得到100个收益率数据
(2) 获取该股票同期的100个交易日的基本面、市场驱动指标和市场热度、情绪指标,分别计算均值、标准差,并进行中心化
(3) 以该股票20日累计收益率为因变量,基本面、市场驱动指标和市场热度、情绪指标为自变量进行[弹性网 ( ElasticNet ) 回归](http://scikit-learn.org/stable/modules/linear_model.html)
(4) 获取该股票前一日的基本面、市场驱动指标和市场热度、情绪指标
(5) 对该股票前一日的基本面、市场驱动指标和市场热度、情绪指标,依据前100个交易日的均值和标准差,置相对大小为 (前一日值 - 均值)/ 标准差 并四舍五入,作为在该项因子上的得分
(6) 根据之前计算出的权重对这些得分进行加总,得到该股票的得分,并以此为指数进行股票筛选
(7) 根据指数得分排序,选取总分最高的前五支股票作为买入列表
(8) 根据买入列表调仓
```py
import pandas as pd
import numpy as np
import statsmodels.api as sm
import statsmodels.regression.linear_model as lm
from sklearn.linear_model import ElasticNet
from CAL.PyCAL import *
used_factors = ['MA10', 'MA60', 'ROA', 'PE', 'LCAP', 'DHILO', 'DebtEquityRatio', 'OperatingProfitGrowRate', 'TotalAssetGrowRate', 'NPToTOR']
#used_factors = ['ASSI', 'EBITToTOR', 'ETP5', 'MA60', 'HSIGMA', 'PE', 'VOL60', 'SUE', 'DAVOL20', 'TotalAssetGrowRate']
def StockFactorsGet(universe, trading_days):
data_all = {}
for i,stock in enumerate(universe):
try:
data = DataAPI.MktStockFactorsDateRangeGet(secID = stock, beginDate = trading_days[0], endDate = trading_days[-1], field = ['tradeDate'] + used_factors)
# data['tradeDate'] = pd.to_datetime(data['tradeDate'])
except Exception, e:
print e
try:
news_data = DataAPI.NewsHeatIndexGet(secID = stock, beginDate = trading_days[0], endDate = trading_days[-1])
heatIndex = news_data.set_index('newsPublishDate').sort_index().reset_index()[['heatIndex','newsPublishDate']]
heatIndex['flag'] = heatIndex['newsPublishDate'].apply(lambda x: True if x in data.tradeDate.values else False)
heatIndex = heatIndex[heatIndex.flag].reset_index()
data = pd.merge(data, heatIndex, how = 'inner', left_index = 'tradeDate', right_index = 'newsPublishDate').drop(['index','newsPublishDate','flag'], 1)
except Exception, e:
data['heatIndex'] = 0
try:
emotion_data = DataAPI.NewsSentimentIndexGet(secID = stock, beginDate = trading_days[0], endDate = trading_days[-1])
emotionIndex = emotion_data.set_index('newsPublishDate').sort_index().reset_index()[['sentimentIndex','newsPublishDate']]
emotionIndex['flag'] = emotionIndex['newsPublishDate'].apply(lambda x: True if x in data.tradeDate.values else False)
emotionIndex = emotionIndex[emotionIndex.flag].reset_index()
data = pd.merge(data, emotionIndex, how = 'inner', left_index = 'tradeDate', right_index = 'newsPublishDate').drop(['index','newsPublishDate','flag'], 1)
except Exception, e:
# print 'emotion', stock, e
data['sentimentIndex'] = 0
data['news_emotion'] = data['heatIndex'] * data['sentimentIndex']
data_all[stock] = data
return data_all
def StockRegDataGet(stock, trading_days, factors, shift = 20):
start = trading_days[0]
end = trading_days[-1]
data = factors[(factors.tradeDate >= start.strftime('%Y-%m-%d')) & (factors.tradeDate <= end.strftime('%Y-%m-%d'))][:-shift]
ret = DataAPI.MktEqudGet(secID = stock, beginDate = start.strftime('%Y%m%d'), endDate = end.strftime('%Y%m%d'), field = ['tradeDate', 'closePrice'])
ret['fwdPrice'] = ret['closePrice'].shift(-shift)
ret['return'] = ret['fwdPrice'] / ret['closePrice'] - 1.
ret = ret[:-shift]
data = data.merge(ret, how = 'inner', left_on = ['tradeDate'], right_on = ['tradeDate'])
data = data.loc[:, ['return', 'heatIndex', 'sentimentIndex', 'news_emotion'] + used_factors]
return data
def GetRegressionResult(data):
data = data.dropna()
all_factors = ['heatIndex', 'sentimentIndex', 'news_emotion'] + used_factors
for f in all_factors:
if data[f].std() == 0:
continue
data[f] = (data[f] - data[f].mean()) / data[f].std()
y = np.array(data['return'].tolist())
x = []
for f in all_factors:
x.append(data[f].tolist())
x = np.column_stack(tuple(x))
x = np.array( [ np.append(v,1) for v in x] )
en = ElasticNet(fit_intercept=True, alpha=0)
en.fit(x, y)
res = en.coef_[:-1]
w = dict(zip(all_factors, res))
return w
def preparing(universe, date, factors_all):
date = Date(date.year, date.month, date.day)
cal = Calendar('China.SSE')
start = cal.advanceDate(date, '-120B', BizDayConvention.Following)
end = cal.advanceDate(date, '-1B', BizDayConvention.Following)
start = datetime(start.year(), start.month(), start.dayOfMonth())
end = datetime( end.year(), end.month(), end.dayOfMonth())
trading_days = quartz.utils.tradingcalendar.get_trading_days(start, end)
datas, means, vols, weights = {}, {}, {}, {}
for i,stock in enumerate(universe):
try:
datas[stock] = StockRegDataGet(stock, trading_days, factors_all[stock])
means[stock] = dict(datas[stock].mean())
vols[stock] = dict(datas[stock].std())
weights[stock] = GetRegressionResult(datas[stock])
except Exception, e:
pass
return means, vols, weights
```
```py
from datetime import datetime
end = datetime(2016, 5, 18)
f_start = datetime(2014, 1, 1)
universe = set_universe('SH50')
f_days = quartz.utils.tradingcalendar.get_trading_days(f_start, end)
factors_all = StockFactorsGet(universe, f_days)
```
```py
from datetime import datetime
start = datetime(2014, 6, 1)
end = datetime(2016, 5, 18)
benchmark = 'SH50'
universe = set_universe('SH50')
capital_base = 100000
refresh_rate = 20
# f_start = datetime(2012, 6, 1)
# f_days = quartz.utils.tradingcalendar.get_trading_days(f_start, end)
# factors_all = StockFactorsGet(universe, f_days)
def initialize(account):
pass
def handle_data(account):
print account.current_date
means, vols, weights = preparing(account.universe, account.current_date, factors_all)
cal = Calendar('China.SSE')
date = Date(account.current_date.year, account.current_date.month, account.current_date.day)
date = cal.advanceDate(date, '-1B', BizDayConvention.Following)
date = datetime(date.year(), date.month(), date.dayOfMonth())
factors_cur = StockFactorsGet(account.universe, [date])
score = {}
all_factors = ['heatIndex', 'sentimentIndex', 'news_emotion'] + used_factors
for stock in account.universe:
if stock not in weights:
continue
fac = factors_cur[stock]
s = 0
for f in all_factors:
try:
x = fac[f].iloc[-1]
x = (x - means[stock][f])/vols[stock][f]
s += weights[stock][f] * int(round(x))
except:
pass
score[stock] = s
buylist = sorted(score.keys(), key = lambda x: score[x])[-5:]
rebalance(account, buylist)
def rebalance(account, buylist):
for stock in account.valid_secpos:
if stock not in buylist:
order_to(stock, 0)
for stock in buylist:
order(stock, account.referencePortfolioValue / len(buylist) / account.referencePrice[stock])
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2014-07-01 00:00:00
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2014-08-26 00:00:00
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```
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